Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.187354 2.498560 2.839175 3.239796 3.698329 4.207032 4.814612
2025-08-10 1.675239 2.087937 2.580900 3.213834 4.006124 4.966752 6.222528
2025-08-17 1.379863 1.825322 2.390191 3.160432 4.185904 5.507882 7.347653
2025-08-24 1.216058 1.689039 2.318926 3.221392 4.485496 6.199721 8.712287
2025-08-31 1.087902 1.576097 2.254394 3.268823 4.753844 6.858340 10.085618
2025-09-07 0.966782 1.454102 2.157196 3.249705 4.913274 7.365506 11.281573
2025-09-14 0.857451 1.334252 2.046117 3.191409 4.999042 7.761095 12.338355
2025-09-21 0.772945 1.241167 1.962719 3.161644 5.117997 8.208786 13.510575
2025-09-28 0.697290 1.152924 1.876091 3.114391 5.198808 8.596338 14.615626
2025-10-05 0.683049 1.161874 1.943905 3.322719 5.714936 9.734532 17.083906
2025-10-12 0.636033 1.110729 1.906866 3.349184 5.922971 10.371797 18.748542
2025-10-19 0.606687 1.086582 1.912224 3.447590 6.262665 11.263174 20.949694
2025-10-26 0.556167 1.024142 1.852177 3.436949 6.430724 11.911280 22.866031
2025-11-02 0.507188 0.960163 1.784395 3.407897 6.567854 12.529744 24.827491
2025-11-09 0.460688 0.895310 1.707403 3.351262 6.643011 13.034364 26.619290
2025-11-16 0.434521 0.866358 1.694425 3.415981 6.960529 14.039063 29.534127
2025-11-23 0.409260 0.836285 1.675740 3.466342 7.253019 15.022760 32.520775
2025-11-30 0.378982 0.792728 1.625562 3.446043 7.395461 15.711553 34.955662
2025-12-07 0.347706 0.743758 1.559256 3.384148 7.441330 16.199332 37.002530
2025-12-14 0.322387 0.704771 1.509687 3.352546 7.548748 16.829310 39.443999
2025-12-21 0.297897 0.665044 1.454518 3.302378 7.608313 17.357835 41.710572
2025-12-28 0.297495 0.678722 1.516726 3.523566 8.313345 19.425913 47.906432
2026-01-04 0.281941 0.656361 1.496457 3.551667 8.567755 20.473215 51.728403